Biodiversity and Conservation

AbstractSpecies geographic distributions are central to research in biogeography, macroecology, and conservation biology. However, incomplete or inaccurate knowledge about their spatiotemporal ranges--known as the Wallacean shortfall--hampers our understanding of biodiversity patterns and processes. In this study, we systematically reviewed 192 papers that reported new distribution records of Chinas mammals from 2001 to 2023, covering 150 species in 26 families across 7 orders. We examined the taxonomic, spatiotemporal, and biogeographic characteristics of these newly recorded species. We used Bayesian Phylogenetic Generalized Linear Mixed Models (BPGLMM) to assess how intrinsic traits and extrinsic factors influenced the likelihood of discoveries and partial Poisson regressions to evaluate how species-level attributes, environmental and socio-economic factors shaped the number of new occurrence records across provinces. Our results showed that Chiroptera (n=69), Eulipotyphla (n=26) and Rodentia (n=23) had the highest number of new records. Among provinces, Yunnan (n=31), Guangdong (n=22), and Xizang (n=18) yielded the most newly recorded species. The amount of annual discoveries varied and peaked between 2017 and 2021. The Western Mountain and Plateau (n=39) and the East Hilly Plain (n=33) zoogeographic subregions had the greatest number of newly recorded species, including two new records extending into historically unrecognized zoogeographic realms. Notably, 61 (40.7%) species were found to extend towards the north or northeast of their known ranges, and 32 (21.3%) eastward, mainly due to the sampling bias. Smaller-bodied species and those with broader habitat ranges are more likely to yield new records, and the total number of new records was positively correlated with regional species richness and current survey efforts (r > 0.5, p < 0.05). These findings expand the known distributions of Chinas mammals and provide essential data for mitigating the Wallacean shortfall. They underscore the urgent need for intensified surveys in biodiversity-rich, underexplored regions--especially targeting small-bodied, data-deficient taxa--and for timely updates and data-sharing to better inform conservation strategies.

Many alien species are safe in their native ranges; however, some are threatened, posing a challenging conundrum for conservation and invasion science. We focused on alien threatened mammals, examining their distribution, pathways, threats, and conservation strategies. We also reassessed their IUCN Red List category to evaluate the effect of including alien populations in extinction risk assessments. Of 242 alien mammals, we identified 41 aliens that are threatened, classified as critically endangered (19%), endangered (27%), or vulnerable (54%). They were primarily introduced for hunting and exchanged within Asia, with introduced ranges concentrated in eastern Australia. They were subject to multiple threats, most notably biological resource use. Including alien populations in the categorization assessments reduces extinction risk of 22% of the species. We highlighted the conservation value of alien populations for threatened mammals. However, conservation managers and extinction risk assessors shall carefully consider their use, to avoid negative impacts on native biodiversity.

The new Key Biodiversity Areas (KBA) standard is an important method for identifying regions of the planet hosting unique biodiversity. KBAs are identified through the implementation of threshold-based criteria that can be applied to any target species and region. Efficient methods to rapidly assess the existence of potential KBAs in different areas of the planet are still missing, although they are needed to accelerate the KBA identification process for large numbers of species globally. We developed a methodology to scan geographical regions and detect potential KBAs under multiple criteria. We tested the methodology on 59 species of reptiles and amphibians in Italy through the application of selected KBA criteria. Potential KBAs were identified for multiple species under most criteria, covering 1.4% to 12% of the study area, depending on analytical settings. Unit size used to identify KBAs played an important role in shaping the distribution of potential KBAs, also affecting the degree of overlap between areas triggered by different criteria. New potential KBAs identified in this study are only partially nested within current KBAs in Italy (previously identified for birds) and within the national protected areas.

Global conservation and research has come to rely on the IUCN species range-maps to direct research, allocate funding and define and design protected areas. However, IUCN species range-maps may be created on the basis of little actual data. Though the IUCN methods may be suitable for well known species, they may be liable unreliable for lesser known species or areas. In such cases, human biases may limit the usefulness of the output maps and potentially misdirect conservation funding and protection. Possible errors in these IUCN maps has global implications for the preservation of biodiversity, as flawed data leads to flawed decisions, which are of critical importance to the protection of the biodiversity of this planet. Ultimately we show that the current IUCN \"expert-assessment based\" range-maps may hinder rather than assist global conservation, as errors ranged from tens to thousands of kilometres (between recorded distributions and IUCN-maps), and for some taxa under 50% of records fell within their mapped-ranges. IUCN maps are being used globally to evaluate global conservation and protection, yet up to 85.4% of IUCN species-range boundaries follow political-boundaries, making using IUCN maps to evaluate the protected-area system and its efficacy impossible. The current availability of data, methods and computer-power has relegated these maps in the wake of more empirically based methods, and better use of available data provides the ability to make better conservation decisions, especially for highly threatened species and regions.

In recent decades, increased anthropogenic impact has led to a global decline in genetic diversity. Before the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (2022), the absence of international consensus on how to directly assess and monitor genetic diversity, hampered large-scale conservation efforts. Scarcity of assessable genetic data has hindered the evaluation of conservation policies in safeguarding genetic diversity. This study presents the first global approach for evaluating the protection of genetic diversity. By examining the global distribution of mammalian intraspecific mitochondrial DNA and protected area coverage, we identify regions with high genetic diversity and insufficient protection coverage, e.g. regions of critical importance for biodiversity in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest. Additionally, we estimate the impact of global change scenarios on genetically diverse regions with a low degree of protection, revealing high vulnerability of areas in Central Africa. Nonetheless, integrating robust analysis into conservation planning remains challenging. Incorporating Macrogenetics into conservation planning holds the potential to reverse biodiversity decline.

Italy, one of Europe's most biodiverse countries, is expected to undergo landscape-wide nature recovery thanks to the EU Nature Restoration Regulation. National red lists represent critical instruments for informing conservation strategies at finer geographic resolutions and prioritizing taxa of national importance; yet the taxonomic completeness of Italian red lists remains unquantified in relation to national biodiversity. Equally, no systematic evaluation has been conducted on the representation of threatened and endemic Italian taxa within European and international conservation directives and treaties. We present the first comprehensive review of threat status and policy inclusion of Italian biodiversity, encompassing animals, plants, fungi, lichens, and algae. We cross-referenced national species checklists with Italian, European, Mediterranean, and global IUCN red lists, alongside policy annexes from the Birds and Habitats Directives, the Bern and Barcelona Conventions, and CITES. Our dataset comprised 76,845 taxa, of which 8,389 are endemic; yet red list assessments exist for only 10% of this total (7,349 taxa, including 1,700 endemics). Conservation policy coverage is even more restrictive: only 1,346 taxa are listed under at least one legislative instrument, with only half of these classified as threatened. This constitutes a compounding double bottleneck with most of the Italian biodiversity remaining both unassessed and unprotected and systematically biasing conservation policy toward an unrepresentative fraction of national biodiversity. We recommend accelerated national assessments and urgent establishment of a national biodiversity priority list founded on transparent prioritization protocols. This would complement ecosystem-based interventions mandated by the Nature Restoration Regulation while correcting for vertebrate-centred biases.

Identifying potential Key Biodiversity Areas (KBAs) using species occurrence records is crucial for integrating hyperdiverse taxa, such as insects, into the KBA network. To ensure the KBA network supports effective conservation decision-making, established KBAs need to be reassessed every 8 to 12 years. Realistically, reassessments for very high numbers of species will be based also on opportunistic occurrence points. However, how changes in species distribution data availability and completeness in different time periods influence the spatial stability of potential KBAs over time has not been investigated in any taxa yet. We performed potential KBA assessments for 28 species and subspecies of bumblebees in Italy using an expert-validated dataset of distribution data collected between 1990 and 2023, using 10-year cumulative and progressive time series. Our findings reveal that KBA scoping for species with distributional knowledge gaps does not ensure stability and reliability over time. Potential KBA turnover percentages between different time periods can be high ([~=]133%). While only seven species/subspecies could trigger potential KBAs, their turnover percentage ranged between 28.5% and 50%. We highlight the need for standardized and strategic monitoring of established KBAs and species distributions between reassessments. We also discuss strategies to optimize monitoring plans under resource constraints.

There is a complex interplay of criminal groups control over land, illicit activities, and forest cover change in the Colombian Andes-Amazon region. This area is dealing with diverse forms of conflict and peace, directly impacting landscape connectivity. While many studies have documented rapid deforestation after the peace agreement in 2016, we know little about the effect of these socio-political changes on the state of landscape connectivity. We disentangle habitat from connected habitat in forest ecosystems using the Landsat archive and landscape connectivity indices. We find that in the Andes-Amazon region during 2000-2020, connected habitat loss reached 18%, while habitat loss was 13%. This result is worrisome, because it indicates that well-connected patches are more fragmented and isolated, affecting the natural connections between the Andes and Amazon biogeographical regions and the movement ability of species. The Colombian government should conduct a strategic peacebuilding process incorporating structural changes that prevent the increase of large-scale extractive activities that are often illegal in the region. While finding a balance between extractive activities and conservation remains a big challenge, legal land tenure, census/taxation, and specific agreements with local actors can initially prevent deforestation. We discourage localized military actions and the return of aerial fumigation of coca fields, which rather than stop deforestation might exacerbate land cover change deeper into pristine forests.

Wood-pastures--mosaic landscapes composed of scattered trees, shrubland, and grassland--are a cornerstone of Europes ecological and cultural heritage. Yet their conservation is increasingly threatened by the decline of disturbance regimes maintained by both megaherbivores and traditional agro-silvo-pastoral practices, leading to afforestation, biodiversity loss, and heightened wildfire risk. To evaluate the conservation potential of restoring megaherbivore communities to rebalance disturbance regimes in Italian wood-pastures, we reconstructed a Holocene, pre-agricultural baseline assemblage and compared its ecological functions with those of the current, impoverished megaherbivore community. Using zooarchaeological records, functional trait data, and allometric estimates of movement capacity and plant biomass removal, we demonstrate that a reconstructed assemblage would substantially increase functional diversity--by +0.19 in Functional Divergence and +0.22 in Functional Dispersion (on a scale from 0 to 1)-- and result in much higher vegetation consumption (11.88 versus 4.45 t km-2 yr-1), with a shift toward greater grazing. This would support the maintenance of open, heterogeneous habitats, reduce fine-fuel loads, and likely promote long-term soil carbon sequestration, aligning with EU climate and restoration objectives. Enhanced megaherbivore movement capacity would also increase endozoochorous seed dispersal, improving vegetation connectivity and adaptive potential under climate change. Additionally, we synthesized socioeconomic insights through a SWOT analysis of megafauna rewilding in Italy. Key strengths include strong cultural associations with megafauna, active rewilding organizations, and emerging economic opportunities tied to ecotourism and rural branding. However, challenges related to conflict, zoonoses, early-stage management requirements, and limited communication among stakeholders remain substantial. Our findings underscore the ecological and cultural relevance of megaherbivore rewilding for restoring wood-pastures in Italy--a context where rewilding remains underrepresented in public and academic discourse. By providing a quantitative, integrative assessment, this study offers foundational evidence to inform national ecological restoration strategies and promote ambitious, process-based approaches to conserving Europes semi-natural cultural landscapes.

In this study, we assess how well globally threatened bird species in Latin America are currently represented within existing protected areas, and we identify conservation priority areas for the most under-protected species. We used publicly available data to map the Area of Habitat (AOH) for each of the 149 land birds in South America listed on the IUCN Red List of Threatened Species as either Critically Endangered, Endangered, or Vulnerable (the latter only under criterion D - those with the smallest populations or ranges). We then set two minimum conservation targets for each species: first a population-based target that estimates the proportion of the AOH needed to conserve 1,000 mature individuals (or the total population if smaller) to prevent extinction; and second, an area-based target that estimates the amount of habitat needed to sustain the long-term conservation of each species. The AOH maps were then overlaid with existing protected areas to identify those species that do not yet have their minimum conservation targets met. Using this approach, we identified 10 species that require additional protection to avoid extinction, and a further 54 species that need expanded protection for sustained conservation. Fortunately, the majority of species already met their target. We also ran a prioritization analysis to identify and map the places most important for meeting the goals of the under-protected species. We found that just 661.4 km2 is needed to meet population-based targets for the ten species of greatest concern, and 16,360 km2 is needed to meet area-based targets for all under-protected species combined. These areas represent <0.1% of the regions land area and are mostly concentrated in five countries (Mexico, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru, and Brazil). Expanding reserves to cover these areas should result in both improved conservation outcomes and Red List status for these species.

Natural history collections underpin our understanding of species distributions, yet some historical records remain embedded in modern avifaunal checklists despite limited documentation and no independent verification. One such case concerns the Dusky Parrot Pionus fuscus in Colombia: although reported from specimens collected by Melbourne A. Carriker Jr. in 1942 in the Serrania de Perija, the species has not been observed in the country for nearly eight decades yet continues to be included in national checklists and conservation assessments. We reassessed the validity of this record by applying a multi-evidence framework integrating historic archival reconstruction, specimen-based morphological comparisons, climatic niche analyses, biogeographic limit assessment and contemporary survey-effort data. Historical documentation and morphological evidence based on high-resolution specimen images and associated curatorial records demonstrate that the Carriker specimens correspond to Pionus chalcopterus, not P. fuscus. Climatic niche analyses reveal minimal environmental overlap between P. chalcopterus and P. fuscus, and place the Perija locality within the climatic niche of P. chalcopterus, while regional biogeography and extensive modern birdwatching coverage provide no support for the occurrence of P. fuscus in Perija. Together, these concordant lines of evidence demonstrate that P. fuscus does not occur in Colombia. Our findings support its removal from national bird lists and conservation assessments and highlight how integrated, multi-evidence reassessments of historical records strengthen ornithological baselines, improve biogeographic inference and ensure that conservation priorities rest on verifiable evidence.

Bioregionalization methods allow us to classify and map biogeographic units using data on species composition and traits. Here, we reviewed the evolution of the field during the last 70 years, seeking to summarize its history, and identify gaps and future avenues for research. Our results show that the aim of the studies using bioregionalization methods changed in time. First, bioregionalization were used to unveil the drivers of the observed spatial patterns of biodiversity on Earth, and to understand the role of dispersal limitations on the evolutionary history of clades, but recently, these methods are mostly used for conservation management. Further, data used to map biodiversity regions, the ones that we are now defining conservation strategies, are taxonomically and geographically biased, with a large percentage of the papers using vertebrate data from developed continents/countries. Finally, we show how key papers in the field, the ones with most citations, heavily depend on expert criteria and non-reproducible workflows, preventing direct comparison of maps of bioregions from different papers. Following our findings, we identified 3 gaps for the advance in the field, 1) We need to move beyond maps of vertebrate composition. Ideally, we need to increase the taxonomic diversity of the studies, but also to add other type of information, like data on species traits, genetic diversity, or phylogenetic distances. 2) we need reproducible and standardized methods 3) we need to further explore the temporal dimension of bioregions, to understand how they evolved through time.

The Madrean Sky Island Archipelago is a system of 54 mountains with isolated woodland habitat above 1,600 meters, primarily in the Sonoran Desert. These mountains harbor a wide variety of native small mammals spanning 11 families of bats, rodents and shrews. Improved understanding of Madrean Sky Island biodiversity will potentially advance studies of biogeography, phylogenetic relationships, host-symbiont interactions, and processes of community assembly in this ecoregion. However, which species are found in each sky island and how their populations are genetically related remain open questions. To establish the current knowledge baseline, we used voucher specimen geocoordinates and elevations to summarize the extent and timing of past collecting efforts for small mammals in woodland habitats across the Madrean Sky Islands. In total, 97 species of small mammals (39 bats, 54 rodents, 4 shrews) from 9,541 specimens were collected from 1884 to 2023. Of these historical specimens, 79% come from five sky islands (Chiricahuas, Pinalenos, Huachucas, Animas, and Santa Catalinas) and only 25 sky islands in the Madrean system have any recorded specimens. Mexicos 25 sky islands are mostly unsampled (only the San Luis, Sierra dos Ajos, and Sierra La Mariquita have any specimens) and several of Arizonas larger sky islands have fewer than 40 specimens (Galiuros, Canelo Hills, Santa Teresas, Mules, and Dragoons). A large majority of small mammal specimens (87%) were collected prior to 1980, meaning they were collected without DNA/RNA preservation as a priority. This distributional summary is the current basis for all derived biodiversity knowledge of Madrean Sky Island small mammals, illustrating clear gaps regarding most species of woodland-dwelling bats, rodents, and shrews. This work lays the foundation for future fieldwork and voucher specimen preservation in the Madrean Sky Islands, especially from undersampled mountains where biodiversity assumptions are unconfirmed.

Brazil is a continental-sized megadiverse country with high rates of habitat loss and degradation. Part of the Brazilian biodiversity - including endemic species - is recognized as threatened. By following the IUCN standards, we review the classification of all the 1172 endangered species in Brazil, analyzing differences among categories and groups. Based on a subsample of all 464 terrestrial vertebrates we identified 1036 records of threats affecting them. Criterion B was the most used (56% overall; 70% for CR species; 75% for EN), mainly related to reductions in their habitat area, extent and/or quality due to deforestation. Data on population declines (criterion A), number of reproductive individuals (criterion C), and population sizes (criterion D) are available for only a small fraction of the Brazilian fauna. Criterion E (probability of extinction in the wild) was used for only one species. Birds and mammals had the highest diversity of used criteria, while marine fish the lowest (90% related to declining populations). Two out of three of the 464 vertebrate species analyzed were negatively impacted by agribusiness. Other major threats are hunting, urban sprawl, rural settlements, and the construction of hydroelectric dams. Birds and mammals experience more co-occurrence of threats. Some threats are clearly underestimated in Brazil: climate change was indicated for only 2% species analyzed, but included no birds or amphibians. The main threats identified are linked to the patterns of economic development in Brazil and the current political and economic context points to a worrisome conservation scenario in the near future.

Land-use and land-cover (LULC) change is a dominant driver of biodiversity loss, yet its long-term role in restructuring species distribution remains poorly understood due to limited historical baselines and the scarcity of long-term analyses across multiple ecological transition zones. Here, we investigate nearly two centuries of land-use change across a biogeographically diverse region to evaluate how landscape transformation has reshaped vertebrate distribution range dynamics, and whether ecoregional context, habitat specialization, and taxonomic identity better explain these patterns than recent landscape change alone. Using Texas, a biogeographic crossroads with diverse ecoregional zones and a long history of intensive land-use, we quantify distributional changes in 100 native vertebrate species (mammals, birds, reptiles, and amphibians), using Vernon Baileys late nineteenth-century surveys as a historical benchmark. We integrated multi-temporal LULC datasets with spatial and multivariate analyses to assess how habitat change, species traits, and regional context relate to patterns of range expansion, contraction, and redistribution. We show that Texas has undergone non-linear landscape transformations characterized by early agricultural expansion followed by cropland abandonment, shrubland encroachment, and rapid urbanization. Range contractions were most pronounced among amphibians, reptiles, and habitat specialists, whereas generalist species and many birds exhibited greater range stability or expansion. Across taxa, primary habitat, vertebrate class, and ecoregional context emerged as the strongest predictors of distributional change, underscoring the importance of historical and environmental context over simple measures of habitat loss and fragmentation. These results indicate that while long-term LULC change establishes the underlying landscape template, species responses are structured by ecological context, including habitat affinity, taxonomic traits, and regional environmental gradients. By linking historical landscape trajectories to contemporary biodiversity patterns, this study provides a transferable framework for investigating how land-use legacies influence species distributions and community reassembly in heterogeneous human-dominated landscapes, highlighting the importance of adaptive capacity and connectivity for conservation planning.

Loss of natural habitat is one of the major threats for biodiversity worldwide. Habitat conversion not only changes diversity and species composition locally (alpha diversity) but might also lead to large-scale homogenization of species communities and decrease in regional species richness (gamma diversity). We investigated the effect of farmland conversion on amphibian communities in Rwanda and compared local and regional (country-wide) taxonomic, functional and phylogenetic diversity between natural and farmland sites (agricultural marais). Alpha diversity was higher in the disturbed farmland than in natural sites. However, species turnover among farmland sites was much lower than among natural sites, resulting in highly homogenized amphibian communities and much lower country-wide taxonomic, functional and phylogenetic gamma diversity in farmland compared to natural sites. The few frog species found in farmland were mostly disturbance-tolerant species that are widespread in Eastern Africa and beyond. In contrast, most of the regionally endemic frog species that make this region a continent-scale hotspot of amphibian diversity were found only in the natural habitats. Ongoing farmland conversion might lead to a loss of regional endemism and a widespread homogenization of species communities across sub-Saharan Africa.

Orangutans (Pongo spp.) occur at low densities and therefore large areas are necessary to sustain viable metapopulations, defined here as sets of conspecific units of individuals linked by dispersal. Historically, orangutans lived in large contiguous areas of intact rainforest, but are now increasingly found in agricultural and other landscapes modified by people. Here we collate evidence of orangutans utilizing isolated forest fragments (< 500 ha) within multiple-use landscapes dominated by oil palm monoculture across Borneo. Orangutan signs (i.e. nests) were evident in 76 fragments surveyed by helicopter, and in 50 of 70 additional fragments surveyed on the ground; on average 63 ha in size. This includes presence of adult resident females with dependent young confirmed in 40% of the fragments assessed by ground survey. Our study revealed some resident females are raising offspring in isolated forest patches within mature oil palm stands. This not only confirms that some forest patches can sustain orangutans, but indicates migratory males are capable of reaching these fragments scattered throughout the multiple-use landscape. Therefore, orangutans that use or live in even small isolated forest patches are an essential part of the overall metapopulation by maintaining gene flow between, and genetic connectivity within, populations distributed across larger multiple-use landscapes. Orangutan survival is commonly thought to be low in small, isolated forest patches, and the customary management strategy is to remove (translocate) these individuals and release them in larger forests. In some cases, translocations may be necessary, i.e. in case of fire or when the animals are in eminent danger of being killed and have no other refuge. However, the small amount of data available indicates that mortality rates during and after translocations are high, while the impacts of removing animals from spatially dispersed metapopulations are unknown. Therefore, we argue the current policy of routine translocation rather than conserving the species within human-modified landscapes could inadvertently decrease critical metapopulation functionality necessary for long-term viability. It is clear that orangutans need natural forest to survive, but our findings show that fragmented agricultural landscapes can also serve as complementary conservation areas in addition to fully protected areas if they are well designed with ecological connections, and if orangutan killing can be prevented. To achieve this, we call for a paradigm shift from the traditional large single forest model to one that emphasizes metapopulation functionality in the fragmented forest - human use matrix characteristic of the Anthropocene. Version 2 (20 May 2020): this manuscript is a non-peer reviewed preprint shared via the BiorXiv server while being considered for publication in a peer-reviewed academic journal. Please refer to the permanent digital object identifier (https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.17.100842). Under the Creative Commons license (CC-BY Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives 4.0 International) you are free to share the material as long as the authors are credited, you link to the license, and indicate if any changes have been made. You may not share the work in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use. You cannot change the work in any way or use it commercially.

Humanity has maintained cultural connections with our environments for time immemorial. Plants and artisan crafts are a prime example, as craft purpose, skill, design, and species used can vary greatly between communities and the loss of a critical plant species can result in a loss of access to cultural craft practices. To mitigate global biodiversity loss, conservationists are faced with the challenge of assessing species vulnerability to extinction and prioritizing species for conservation funding using information instruments, like the IUCN red list. This process does not necessarily consider a species cultural importance. In this paper we sought to address this gap for plant species used in artisan crafts in Colombia. We aim to answer the following: (1) how represented are endemic species in artisan crafts; (2) how threatened are artisan craft species according to (a) international and (b) national vulnerability status? We used the number of species-associated common names as a proxy for cultural awareness. We found that continentally regional species were far more represented in Colombian artisan crafts than national endemics. We also found a strong positive relationship between number of common names and national vulnerability assessment status, but no statistically significant relationship for international vulnerability status. Based on our results, well-known plants used in Colombian artisan crafts are more likely to be assessed nationally than internationally. While the IUCN is thorough in their recommendations, more can be done to prioritize the inclusion of conservation assessments for species based on their contributions to cultural diversity. Positionality statementWe are 14 scientists and practitioners who are deeply committed to the conservation of nature and culture in a changing world. We are trained in diverse fields including ecology, evolutionary biology, botany, music, anthropology, law, and public health. We all have postgraduate academic education (Masters or PhDs underway) but most of us are early career scholars. Six of us grew up in Colombia and we represent many places including Mexico, the United States, Ireland, Chile, Brazil, Germany, and Viet Nam. None of us self-identify as Indigenous.

Quantifying habitat use is important for understanding how animals meet their requirements for survival and provides useful information for conservation planning. Currently, assessments of range-wide habitat use that delimit species distributions are incomplete for many taxa. The harpy eagle (Harpia harpyja) is a raptor of conservation concern, widely distributed across Neotropical lowland forests, that currently faces threats from increasing habitat loss and fragmentation. Here, we use a logistic regression modelling framework to identify habitat resource selection and predict habitat suitability based on a new method developed from the International Union for the Conservation of Nature Area of Habitat range metric. From the habitat use model, we performed a gap analysis to identify areas of high habitat suitability in regions with limited coverage in the Key Biodiversity Area (KBA) network. Range-wide habitat use indicated that harpy eagles prefer areas of 70-75 % evergreen forest cover, low elevation, and high vegetation heterogeneity. Conversely, harpy eagles avoid areas of >10 % cultivated landcover and mosaic forest, and topographically complex areas. Our habitat use model identified a large continuous area across the pan-Amazonia region, and a habitat corridor from the Choco-Darien ecoregion of Colombia running north along the Caribbean coast of Central America. Little habitat was predicted across the Atlantic Forest biome, which is now severely degraded. The current KBA network covered [~]18 % of medium to high suitability harpy eagle habitat exceeding the target representation (10 %). Four major areas of high suitability habitat lacking coverage in the KBA network were identified in the Choco-Darien ecoregion of Colombia, western Guyana, and north-west Brazil. We recommend these multiple gaps of habitat as new KBAs for strengthening the current KBA network. Modelled area of habitat estimates as described here are a useful tool for large-scale conservation planning and can be readily applied to many taxa.

Over a quarter of species assessed by the IUCN Red List are threatened with extinction. A global commitment to protect 17% of land and 10% of the oceans by 2020 is close to being achieved, but with limited ecological impacts due to its inadequacy and poor enforcement. Here, we reverse-engineer IUCN Red List criteria to generate area-based conservation targets and spatial conservation priorities to minimize the extinction risk of the world terrestrial mammals. We find that approximately 60% of the Earths non-Antarctic land surface would require some form of protection. Our results suggest that global conservation priority schemes, among which the Aichi targets, will be inadequate to secure the persistence of terrestrial mammals. To achieve this goal, international cooperation is required to implement a connected and comprehensive conservation area network, guided by high priority regions outlined in this study.